Monday, April 6, 2009

AL East Preview

The American League East is loaded. There is a good possibility that a 90 win team from this division will be left on the outside looking in in October. The back end of this division isn't bad either with the young Orioles and always consistent mediocre Jays.

AL East

The (Devil) Rays are the defending champs. Interesting to say that but you have to hand it to them. They have quality pitching with Kasmir, Garza, and Shields in the top three spots as well as David Price lurking in the minors. The bullpen was more than solid last year but the trend in the majors has always been that the bullpen takes a hit after good years due to the amount of innings pitched. The Rays obvious strength is their lineup. It is dynamic with speed and power in the form of BJ Upton. Hopefully they can get the Upton who seemingly launched home runs every at bat last post season. Carl Crawford, Evan Longoria, and Carlos Pena provide a balanced offensive attack. Throw in Maddon's crazy managing decisions and the Rays can beat you in a variety of ways.

The most likely division winner is the Red Sox. Every year I think these guys are getting older and have to fall apart at some point. However, their roster this season is pretty impressive. The rotation of Beckett, DiceK, Wakefield, and Lester can eat innings and give them a chance to win every day. The wildcards in the rotation are going to be Brad Penny and Clay Bucholtz. The bullpen really staged a coup by getting Smoltz. He's an All Star closer in the setup position. This solidifies the back end of games and can even provide Papelbon with some days off to keep him fresh for the post season. I'm pretty sure I don't have to talk about an offense that boasts Big Papi, MVP Dustin Pedroia (can't hit high and inside), Jacoby Ellsbury, Mike Lowell, and Kevin Youklis.

The Yankees are the Yankees. The keys to their season are CC Sabathia's psyche and the weathering of A-Rod's injury. Sabathia's recent success with the Indians and Brewers stems from his ability to control his emotions. Early in his career he used to get hotheaded in certain situations and just start throwing heat instead of pitching. This led to control trouble and games going from bad to worse. Xavier Nady and Mark Teixera will have to pick up the slack for A-Rod's missing bat. Nady is a good player who has a chance to get into the All Star Game with Rodriguez out. The question for the Yanks is their rotation. While it could be very good, there is no guarantee. Joba was inconsistent at best last year and Pettite is getting old. Burnett is the definition of injury prone and his bad elbow usually costs a month every season.

The Orioles/Blue Jays are in the same boat fighting for fourth place this year. The Orioles have a great young offense but their pitching is a few years from coming out. To be honest I haven't heard of any of the guys behind Jeremy Guthrie in that rotation. But the offense with Huff, Markakis, and Roberts should be solid to compete for mediocrity. The Blue Jays have Roy Halladay and thats about it for starters. Their bullpen is average and BJ Ryan might not even keep his closer job for the season. Reports indicate that his velocity has dropped to about 87 or so for a fastball. That's Joe Borowski territory. I'm glad I drafted him in my fantasy league.

Call: I'm going to go with the Red Sox to win the division and the Rays to pick up the wild card. I'm not sold on the Yankees making it through this competitive season without their best hitter. Jeter is hitting leadoff. He can still get on base but his speed is diminished and his defense has been suffering a lot recently (see WBC). Him and Cano really are a liability up the middle on defense. I don't see Burnett pitching the entire season and Wang is a crapshoot because he's a groundball pitcher with below average defensive middle infielders.

2 comments:

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